Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lopez
Fortaleza

Atletico Bucaramanga
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Pons (89' pen., 89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Deyverson (19', 19')
Teixeira Lopes da Conceicao (36'), Teixeira Lopes da Conceicao (36'), Welison (45'), Welison (45'), Barbosa (51'), Barbosa (51')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Bucaramanga and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Bucaramanga

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Last Game: Racing 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga
Thursday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Atletico Bucaramanga had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Atletico Bucaramanga win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico BucaramangaDrawFortaleza
30.36% (0.895 0.9)29.9% (-0.17 -0.17)39.74% (-0.722 -0.72)
Both teams to score 41.66% (0.727 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.68% (0.727 0.73)65.32% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.89% (0.504 0.5)84.11% (-0.5 -0.5)
Atletico Bucaramanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (1.123 1.12)38.59% (-1.12 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (1.051 1.05)75.34% (-1.049 -1.05)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)32.15% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)68.64% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Bucaramanga 30.36%
    Fortaleza 39.73%
    Draw 29.89%
Atletico BucaramangaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 11.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.38% (0.205 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.03% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 12.4% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.89%
0-1 @ 14.07% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 39.73%