Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abdullah Al-Khalifa Stadium
Hong Kong0 - 3Palestine
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palestine 1-1 UAE
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Hong Kong 1-2 Palestine
Even a victory may not be enough to send the Palestinians through, but they look much more convincing going forward than their Tuesday opponents. Hong Kong have shown they can compete, but their opening two games suggest that they will have little possession in this match and having to defend for long stretches could come with a lot of fatigue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Palestine |
45.86% ( -0.26) | 26.32% ( 0.09) | 27.82% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
