Aruba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad
Haiti national football team

Aruba
1 - 3
Haiti

Perret Gentil (6', 6')
Perret Gentil (28'), Perret Gentil (28'), Jimenez (33'), Jimenez (33'), Marselia (79'), Marselia (79')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Pierrot (31', 31'), Nazon (38' pen., 38' pen., 61', 61')
Arcus (62'), Arcus (62')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Aruba and Haiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 0-1 Puerto Rico
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 6-0 Sint Maarten
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Aruba win it was 2-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
ArubaDrawHaiti
17.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)19.95% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)62.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.66% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.09% (0.064 0.06)59.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)34.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)71.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03)11.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.46% (0.066000000000003 0.07)36.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aruba 17.66%
    Haiti 62.38%
    Draw 19.95%
ArubaDrawHaiti
2-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 17.66%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 62.38%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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