World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Argentina
6 - 0
Bolivia

Messi (19', 19', 84', 84', 86', 86'), Martinez (43', 43'), Alvarez (45+3', 45+3'), Almada (69', 69')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Algaranaz (76'), Algaranaz (76')

Reaction

Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates after scoring on October 15, 2024

Lionel Messi admits "last games" are coming after netting hat-trick in Argentina's dominant win over Bolivia

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Oct 16, 13:22

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifier at home to Bolivia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Argentina
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Bolivia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 80.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.95%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Bolivia
80.67% ( 0.51)	13.09% ( -0.33)	6.23% ( -0.18)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Argentina	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.49% Total : 80.66%	1-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.09%	0-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 6.23%