Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
