USA
4 - 2
Jamaica

(USA win 5-2 on aggregate)

Pulisic (14', 14', 33'), Bernard (33' og.), Pepi (42', 42'), Weah (56', 56')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Gray (53', 53', 68', 68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	3	5	9
2	Ecuador	3	1	4
3	Mexico	3	0	4
4	Jamaica	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Jamaica
58.94% ( -0.03)	23.58% ( -0.02)	17.48% ( 0.05)

USA	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.93%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 17.48%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

USA4 - 2Jamaica