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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 1pm UK
Bahcelievler Il Ozel Idare Stadyumu
Istanbulspor
1 - 5
Fenerbahce
Sarikaya (32')
Sarikaya (9'), Arda (63'), Coly (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Under (6', 34', 44', 46'), Dzeko (45+1')
Elmaz (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, December 23 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 0-2 Fenerbahce

While Fenerbahce's undeniable firepower and defensive resolve make them clear favorites, Istanbulspor should not be underestimated. Spurred by the derby atmosphere, they might put up a spirited fight. However, the gap in quality may ultimately prove too much, with Fenerbahce likely to come away with the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 10.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
10.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 16.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 73.62% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)80.93% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)8.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 10.24%
    Fenerbahce 73.61%
    Draw 16.14%
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 10.24%
1-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 16.14%
0-2 @ 11.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 7.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 4.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-5 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.86%
0-6 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 73.61%

How you voted: Istanbulspor vs Fenerbahce

Istanbulspor
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Fenerbahce
83.3%
18
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Fenerbahce
3-3
Istanbulspor
Guler (25', 51'), Pedro (71')
Ethemi (57' pen., 66'), Eze (90+6')
Oct 30, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Istanbulspor
2-5
Fenerbahce
Topalli (48', 67')
Batshuayi (18' pen., 49', 88'), Kahveci (36'), Valencia (86')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Fenerbahce20172157164153
2GalatasarayGalatasaray19153136102648
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor20114535221337
4BesiktasBesiktas2011273326735
5Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor209562527-232
6Adana Demirspor207853325829
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor207852520529
8KayserisporKayserispor198562627-129
9Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul207582524126
10KasimpasaKasimpasa207583340-726
11SivassporSivasspor206772431-725
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu205962625124
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor205782129-822
14Hatayspor204972627-121
15Samsunspor2063112331-821
16GaziantepGaziantep2063112230-821
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk2055102223-120
18KonyasporKonyaspor204791932-1319
19Pendikspor2037102143-2216
20Istanbulspor2024141438-247

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