Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.