Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Juba Stadium

South Sudan
1 - 2
Uganda

Paulino Juma (21')
Leku (69'), Okocha (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Omedi (15'), Leku (66' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Sudan and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Uganda 1-0 South Sudan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 1-0 South Sudan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.31%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Uganda in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result
South Sudan	Draw	Uganda
18.16% ( -0.04)	29.72% ( -0.01)	52.13% ( 0.05)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

South Sudan	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.16%	0-0 @ 15.31% 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 29.7%	0-1 @ 19.31% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 52.12%