We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Udinese
Scoring at a rate of nearly two goals per game on home soil, and having won half of their games at the Bentegodi this season, Verona can post a third win from four and extend their league lead over Udinese.
While it could be a tightly-contested affair, the hosts have the edge due to possessing a more explosive attack - albeit one that has slowed a little in recent weeks.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
