Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Benevento | Draw | Cagliari |
34.42% | 26.16% | 39.41% |
Both teams to score 53.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% | 51.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% | 72.9% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% | 64.02% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% | 60.24% |
Score Analysis |
Benevento | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
7 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
11 | Juventus | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
12 | Monza | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
16 | Salernitana | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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