Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.17%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (13.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.