Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
