Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.17%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
