Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
