Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.