World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 9pm UK

Warner Park Football Stadium

Saint Kitts
1 - 0
Bahamas

Briston (12')
Lewis (52'), Maynard (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tilo (41'), Cheetham (86')
Tilo (44')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Bahamas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Bahamas

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bahamas 1-7 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Saint Kitts and Nevis	Draw	Bahamas
76.56% ( 0.45)	14.68% ( 0.01)	8.76% ( -0.46)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Saint Kitts and Nevis	Draw	Bahamas
2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.66) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.06% Total : 76.55%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.86% Total : 14.68%	0-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 8.76%