Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 91.74%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 2.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.7%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.69%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.