Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
