Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.