Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
36.64% | 27.14% | 36.22% |
Both teams to score 50.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% | 54.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% | 76.21% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% | 28.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% | 64.68% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% | 29.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% | 64.99% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 79 |
3 | Braga | 32 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 29 | 42 | 74 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 48 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 19 |
> Full Version |