Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
