Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.