Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.