World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Narodowy

Poland
1 - 0
Lithuania

Lewandowski (81')
Piatkowski (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Utkus (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Poland and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Lithuania

Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.

Result
Poland	Draw	Lithuania
48.29% ( 0.68)	25.26% ( -0.05)	26.45% ( -0.63)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Poland	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.29%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.45%