Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 19, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
Costa Rica national football team

Panama
2 - 2
Costa Rica

Blackman (14', 14'), Luis Rodriguez (45+3', 45+3')
Guerrero (90+2'), Guerrero (90+2')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Bran (24', 24'), Martinez (73', 73')
Calvo (9'), Calvo (9'), Mitchell (56'), Mitchell (56'), Ugalde (78'), Ugalde (78'), Campbell (79'), Campbell (79'), Campbell (80'), Campbell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawCosta Rica
53.81% (-0.314 -0.31)25.11% (0.031000000000002 0.03)21.07% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.03% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (0.186 0.19)54.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (0.154 0.15)76.08% (-0.152 -0.15)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)20.34% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)52.74% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.403 0.4)40.96% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.358 0.36)77.52% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Panama 53.8%
    Costa Rica 21.07%
    Draw 25.11%
PanamaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.07%

How you voted: Panama vs Costa Rica

Panama
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Costa Rica
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2024 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Costa Rica
0-1
Panama

Mitchell (18')
Fajardo (66' pen.)
Fajardo (18'), Carrasquilla (41'), Mosquera (79'), Cordoba (85')
Nov 21, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Panama
3-1
Costa Rica
Fajardo (20'), Luis Rodriguez (23'), Joel Barcenas (43' pen.)
Fajardo (2'), Escobar (54')
Calvo (51')
Calvo (79')
Nov 17, 2023 3am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Costa Rica
0-3
Panama

Campbell (10'), Arboine (43'), Aguilera (59'), Pablo Vargas (83'), Bran (86')
Murillo (4'), Fajardo (29'), Waterman Ruiz (60')
Godoy (59')
Jun 27, 2023 2am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
1-2
Panama
Suarez (90+1')
Alcocer (15'), Azofeifa (84')
Fajardo (23'), Joel Barcenas (68')
Godoy (44')
Mar 29, 2023 3am
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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