Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.