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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Portugal national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Spain national football team

Portugal
0 - 1
Spain


Silva (46'), Mendes (83'), Felix (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (88')
Guillamon (31'), Carvajal (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Portugal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 0-4 Portugal
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Spain

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Spain 1-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Portugal 2-1 Spain

 Spain's frontline did not cut the mustard against Switzerland, but Enrique's side always seem to have a knack for scoring goals, and they will be forced to go all out on that front if they are to stand a chance of progressing. Such an approach will of course leave La Roja vulnerable to Portugal's pace on the counter, and the Selecao can take advantage to snatch victory and seal their place in the Nations League Finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Spain had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
PortugalDrawSpain
41.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.52% (-0.229 -0.23) 33.66% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Both teams to score 58.9% (0.875 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (1.113 1.11)43.93% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (1.079 1.08)66.32% (-1.084 -1.08)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.46299999999999 0.46)21.09% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.719 0.72)53.92% (-0.72600000000001 -0.73)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.669 0.67)25.34% (-0.677 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.916 0.92)60.13% (-0.922 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 41.81%
    Spain 33.66%
    Draw 24.51%
PortugalDrawSpain
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Portugal vs Spain

Portugal
73.4%
Draw
12.2%
Spain
14.4%
597
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 7.45pm
League A2
Spain
1-1
Portugal
Morata (25')
Sarabia (37'), Llorente (72'), Busquets (90+2')
Horta (82')
Moutinho (38'), Silva (39'), Nunes (84'), Pepe (90+3')
Jun 4, 2021 6.30pm
Spain
0-0
Portugal
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Portugal
0-0
Spain

Semedo (56')

Reguilon (44')
Jun 5, 2020 6.30pm
Spain
P-P
Portugal
Jun 15, 2018 7pm
Group B
Portugal
3-3
Spain
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