The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Estonia and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Cyprus 0-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Estonia 1-1 Cyprus
Neither nation is accustomed to taking the initiative, given their lowly status and sparse successes, so a tentative first leg may end all-square. Both teams are prone to capitulate under pressure though, so the likeliest outcome may be a score draw - leaving the tie finely balanced before next week's decider. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 47.54% | 22.72% | 29.73% |
| Both teams to score 63.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
