Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.