Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Austin FC |
50.04% | 24.42% | 25.54% |
Both teams to score 54.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% | 47.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% | 70.05% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% | 19.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.18% | 50.82% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% | 32.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.42% | 69.57% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |