World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Mimoun Al Arsi

Madagascar
0 - 3
Ghana

Baggio (23'), Fontaine (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Partey (11', 53'), Kudus (58')
Francis (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Madagascar and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: CAR 1-4 Madagascar
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Ghana

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ghana 5-0 Chad
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 45.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Ghana
25.99% ( -1.22)	28.09% ( -0.52)	45.91% ( 1.74)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Madagascar	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.99%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 14.09% 0-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.86% Total : 45.91%