Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Caen had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
