Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
