Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toluca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
| 47.77% | 25.08% | 27.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% | 49.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% | 20.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.64% | 53.36% |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% | 32.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% | 69.08% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 47.76%
Pumas 27.15%
Draw 25.08%
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.15% |
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2020 6pm
Apr 28, 2019 6pm
Nov 11, 2018 6pm
Toluca
0-1
Pumas
Gonzalez (33')
Malcorra (30'), Mendoza (61'), Mozo (80')
Malcorra (30'), Mendoza (61'), Mozo (80')
Form Guide
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