Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atlas
Monday, May 30 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Monday, May 30 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pachuca vs. Queretaro
Tuesday, July 5 at 3am in Liga MX
Tuesday, July 5 at 3am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
| 32.44% | 25.76% | 41.8% |
| Both teams to score 54.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
