Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.05%. A draw has a probability of 9.3% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 4.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 3-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.77%) and 4-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Leeds United win it is 1-2 (1.51%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 86.05% ( | 9.27% ( | 4.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.2% ( | 42.79% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.35% ( | 3.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.29% ( | 15.7% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.1% ( | 48.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.12% ( | 83.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 3-0 @ 10.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 4-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 4-1 @ 6.39% ( 5-0 @ 5.92% ( 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 5-1 @ 4.24% ( 6-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 6-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 7-0 @ 1.55% ( 5-2 @ 1.52% ( 7-1 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 4.57% Total : 86.04% | 1-1 @ 4.22% ( 2-2 @ 2.5% ( 0-0 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 9.27% | 1-2 @ 1.51% ( 0-1 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87 | 30 | 57 | 79 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 81 | 39 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 59 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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