Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.6%), while for an Aston Villa win it is 0-1 (5.78%).
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
61.13% | 22.36% | 16.51% |
Both teams to score 47.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% | 50.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% | 72.18% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.02% | 15.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.72% | 45.27% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.41% | 43.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.21% | 79.78% |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 5.95% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.78% 1-2 @ 4.4% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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