Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 0-1 (6.27%).
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 57.38% ( | 23.28% ( | 19.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( | 49.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( | 71.76% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( | 17.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.7% ( | 47.3% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( | 39.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.41% ( | 76.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 5-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 53 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 46 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 43 |
| 9 | Brentford | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 27 |
| 16 | Everton | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 27 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 27 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Southampton | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
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