Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 30.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester City |
| 30.74% ( | 24.9% ( | 44.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( | 68.95% ( |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.08% ( | 53.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 48 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 41 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 35 |
| 7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 24 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 24 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 19 |
| 18 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 18 |
| 20 | Southampton | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 15 |
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