

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 49.05% | 27.26% | 23.69% |
| Both teams to score 44.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.76% | 80.23% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.88% | 59.12% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.66% | 41.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.15% | 77.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.26% Total : 49.05% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
| P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
| 11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
| 16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
| 18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
| 21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
| R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
| R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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