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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
55.37% | 24.25% | 20.37% |
Both teams to score 48.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% | 52.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% | 74% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% | 18.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.82% | 50.18% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% | 40.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.09% | 76.91% |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25 |
2 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Stevenage | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
6 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
15 | Walsall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
16 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
22 | Gillingham | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
24 | Rochdale | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
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