

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 40.71% | 26.76% | 32.53% |
| Both teams to score 51.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% | 53.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% | 75.34% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% | 26.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.94% | 61.06% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% | 30.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.78% | 67.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Notts County | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Wrexham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 21 |
| 9 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Crawley TownCrawley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Bradford CityBradford | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Morecambe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 13 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 15 | Salford City | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | MK Dons | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Grimsby Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 | Newport CountyNewport | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 14 |
| 21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 10 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 7 |
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