Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.