Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 35.52% | 27.89% | 36.58% |
| Both teams to score 48.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.15% | 57.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% | 78.57% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% | 30.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.73% | 67.27% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% | 30.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.52% | 66.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.51% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 |
| 4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 |
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