Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.