Larne
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium

Larne
0 - 1
St Joseph's

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Larne and St Joseph's.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Larne 0-0 St Joseph's
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Larne 0-0 St Joseph's
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawSt Joseph's
45.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.4% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)29.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.067 0.07)49.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.061 0.06)71.44% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.033999999999992 0.03)21.91% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.052999999999997 0.05)55.18% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
St Joseph's Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (0.033999999999992 0.03)30.72% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (0.040999999999997 0.04)66.97% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Larne 45.04%
    St Joseph's 29.55%
    Draw 25.4%
LarneDrawSt Joseph's
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: St Joseph's vs Larne

St Joseph's
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Larne
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 6pm
Larne
0-0
St Joseph's

Valarino (40'), Ferrer (45+3'), Villar (90+3'), Pecci (90+4')

Bonis (51'), Balmer (59'), Bolger (90+3')