Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a win it was 0-1 (9.42%).
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Alaves | 
| 48.56% | 27.97% | 23.47% | 
| Both teams to score 42.23% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 37.55% | 62.44% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 17.94% | 82.06% | 
| Leganes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.04% | 25.96% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.03% | 60.97% | 
| Alaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.04% | 42.96% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.74% | 79.26% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Leganes | Draw | Alaves | 
| 1-0 @ 15.04% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.93% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.47% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 9 | 45 | 76 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 24 | 39 | 65 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 60 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 54 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 | 
| 6 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 41 | 
| 9 | Mallorca | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 40 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 | 
| 11 | GironaGirona | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 38 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36 | 
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 35 | 
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 32 | 
| 16 | Getafe | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Almeria | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 | 
| 18 | Valencia | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 30 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 28 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 13 | 
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