

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 27.07% | 27.45% | 45.48% | 
| Both teams to score 46.44% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 41.45% | 58.55% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.88% | 79.12% | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.5% | 37.49% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.72% | 74.27% | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.3% | 25.7% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.38% | 60.61% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.48% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 11 | 44 | 76 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 65 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 63 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 55 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 50 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 44 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 43 | 
| 10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 39 | 
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 35 | 
| 15 | Almeria | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 | 
| 16 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 33 | 
| 17 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 | 
| 18 | Getafe | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 28 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 31 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 62 | -42 | 13 | 
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