World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2025 at 1pm UK

Nyayo National Stadium

Kenya
1 - 2
Gabon

Olunga (62')
Nondi (89'), Onyango (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aubameyang (16', 52' pen.)
Moucketou-Moussounda (39'), Lemina (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Kenya and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Gabon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 3-0 Seychelles
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 40.18%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 29.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.25%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Gabon
29.27% ( -0.04)	30.55% ( -0.02)	40.18% ( 0.06)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Kenya	Draw	Gabon
1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 29.27%	0-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.38% 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.54%	0-1 @ 14.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.17%